January 19, 2016

Inventory is risingCurrent Houston Market Indicators:

•Home sales fell for the 2nd straight month.
•Sales are down by 10.5% compared to this time last year.
•Luxury home prices have decreased by 7% (Nov. 2015).
•Inventory has increased from a 2.7 months’ supply to a 3.6 months’ supply.
•Layoffs continue at major oil companies.
Oil company layoffs, a stronger dollar (bad for exports), and raising rates may scare off potential home buyers.  The Houston real estate market is headed into a downturn.  The question is will it get worse?

The Woodlands

We will not see a nosedive in all Houston areas, but in The Woodlands a slow down is happening.  The average number of days houses sit on the market has increased from 35 in May to a whopping 83 in December, proving that it is taking most home owners longer to sell in The Woodlands.  The months’ supply of inventory is way up too, all the way to 7.5 months in November.  Statistics like this point towards a buyers’ market, and sellers should prepare to lower their expectations, and consider budgeting for very aggressive offers from buyers.

The Woodlands Average DOM & Months Supply of Inventory Dec (2015)

average dom
Average Days On The Market

 

inventory supply
Months of Supply – This number tells you how many months it would take for all the current homes for sale on the market to sell, given a monthly sales volume.

Spring Texas

In Spring TX, prices are falling slightly.  The median sold price is down by 6% from last year: $209,104 in Dec 2014 to the present$197,108.  The months’ supply of inventory is up to 3.75 months, meaning that it is still a sellers’ market in Spring.

Spring, Texas Median Sold Price & Months Supply of Inventory Dec (2015)

Average Days On The Market
Average Days On The Market

 

inventory
Months of Supply – This number tells you how many months it would take for all the current homes for sale on the market to sell, given a monthly sales volume.

 

Buyers on the fence should buy now while there’s plenty of inventory and rates are still low.  Position yourself with aggressive offers, and expect counter offers because sellers are still adjusting to the news that their homes aren’t worth as much as they were just last summer.

Sellers should prepare for a fierce spring/summer market.  Homes that didn’t sell in the winter, plus new spring/summer inventory should push prices even lower.  Wait-and-see buyers who are concerned about gas prices may sit out the market until things stabilize.  Home staging and correct market positioning is going to be extremely important.  Sellers have to make sure they are the best deal on the block.

 

In The News

Development set to stabilize in county in 2016:  Continued population growth on the horizon for The Woodlands

Albeit at a slower pace, more new residents, homes and developments are expected throughout The Woodlands area and Montgomery County in 2016. Montgomery County was named the seventh fastest growing county in the U.S., according to census data released in 2015.

Morgan Stanley sees oil bust as worst since at least 1970:  Bank says this crude crash more intense than mid-’80s collapse

Oil prices dropped again… extending 2016’s unbroken losing streak and worsening a bust in Houston’s key industry that is shaping up as the most severe in almost half a century.

2016 Economic and Housing Outlook: Q&A with James Gaines

The Houston market is expected to go into down turn in 2016 according to James Gaines, Chief Economist with Texas A&M Real Estate Center. “I think the housing market will slow down a bit in 2016. It’s not going to fall off a cliff, though,” comments Gaines.

BP to cut thousands of more jobs (Video)

BP PLC (NYSE: BP) plans to cut about 4,000 jobs by the end of 2017, the Associated Press reports.

Fed finally raises interest rates, prepares to lower them when economic collapse accelerates

Reserve chair Janet Yellen went on to note that increases would be incremental and spread over time, but also would remain low for the foreseeable future. The admission, though, that the Fed needed some wiggle room is troubling.

 

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About the Broker/Owner 

Marcus Bruno

I am a licensed real estate broker with over 20 years of experience in the industry. I started my career in 2000 as a real estate agent, and in 2010 I became a broker. I have a passion for helping people find their dream homes and negotiate the best deals. I specialize in residential real estate, and I have extensive knowledge of the local market and trends. In 2015, I moved to Houston with my family and in 2018 opened Bruno Fine Properties Inc, a real estate brokerage that serves the Spring area and surrounding communities.  I am a proud father of five beautiful girls, and I have been happily married to my wife Malika Bruno since 2003. When I am not working, I enjoy spending time with my family, playing golf, and reading. I am always eager to meet new clients and look forward to sharing my knowledge.

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