July 25, 2023

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If you’re thinking of buying or selling a home, one of the biggest questions you have right now is probably: what’s happening with home prices? And it’s no surprise you don’t have the clarity you need on that topic. Part of the issue is how headlines are talking about prices.

They’re basing their negative news by comparing current stats to the last few years. But you can’t compare this year to the ‘unicorn’ years (when home prices reached record highs that were unsustainable). And as prices begin to normalize now, they’re talking about it like it’s a bad thing and making people fear what’s next. But the worst home price declines are already behind us. What we’re starting to see now is the return to more normal home price appreciation.

To help make home price trends easier to understand, let’s focus on what’s typical for the market and omit the last few years since they were anomalies. 

Let’s start by talking about seasonality in real estate. In the housing market, there are predictable ebbs and flows that happen each year. Spring is the peak homebuying season when the market is most active. That activity is typically still strong in the summer but begins to wane as the cooler months approach. Home prices follow along with seasonality because prices appreciate most when something is in high demand.

That’s why, before the abnormal years we just experienced, there was a reliable long-term home price trend. The graph below uses data from Case-Shiller to show typical monthly home price movement from 1973 through 2021 (not adjusted, so you can see the seasonality):

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About the Broker/Owner 

Marcus Bruno

I am a licensed real estate broker with over 20 years of experience in the industry. I started my career in 2000 as a real estate agent, and in 2010 I became a broker. I have a passion for helping people find their dream homes and negotiate the best deals. I specialize in residential real estate, and I have extensive knowledge of the local market and trends. In 2015, I moved to Houston with my family and in 2018 opened Bruno Fine Properties Inc, a real estate brokerage that serves the Spring area and surrounding communities.  I am a proud father of five beautiful girls, and I have been happily married to my wife Malika Bruno since 2003. When I am not working, I enjoy spending time with my family, playing golf, and reading. I am always eager to meet new clients and look forward to sharing my knowledge.

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